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Hot-hand fallacy

['Cognitive bias\nFor other uses, see Hot hand (disambiguation).\nThe hot hand (also known as the hot hand phenomenon or hot hand fallacy ) is the putative tendency for an athlete to have streaks of success higher than their average performance. The concept is often applied to sports and skill-based tasks in general and originates from basketball,…

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Hot-hand fallacy

['Cognitive bias\nFor other uses, see Hot hand (disambiguation).\nThe hot hand (also known as the hot hand phenomenon or hot hand fallacy ) is the putative tendency for an athlete to have streaks of success higher than their average performance. The concept is often applied to sports and skill-based tasks in general and originates from basketball,…

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Hot Hand Fallacy

What is the Hot Hand Fallacy? The hot hand fallacy is the tendency to believe that someone who has been successful in a task or activity is more likely to be successful again in further attempts. The hot hand fallacy derives from the saying that athletes have “hot hands” when they repeatedly score, causing people to believe that they are on a streak and will continue to have successful outcomes.

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